Academica 1-1 Atletico CP — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 4 May 2024

📅04/05/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.49
Draw
25%
4.08
Away
22%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.86
Over 2.5
44%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.03
No
58%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
21%
X/2
5%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
63%
-9.5pp
25%
Draw
21%
+4.1pp
22%
Away Win
16%
+5.4pp
56%
Under 2.5
50%
+5.6pp
44%
Over 2.5
50%
-5.6pp
42%
BTTS Yes
45%
-3.1pp
58%
BTTS No
55%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Academica EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico CP EU Bookmakers 20%
-20% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
0.70/0.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/2.02
-60% / +42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -29%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
334 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Academica
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Atletico CP
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
10.03.2024 Atletico CP Atletico CP 1-3 HT 1-1 Academica Academica POR3
27.01.2024 Academica Academica 2-2 HT 1-1 Atletico CP Atletico CP POR3
29.10.2023 Atletico CP Atletico CP 2-1 HT 0-1 Academica Academica POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Academica
1-1
AWAY Atletico CP
60% Ball Possession 40%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 7
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Academica vs Atletico CP
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Academica and Atletico CP shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Academica at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (56%) landed while no to both teams scoring (58%) missed.

On the day, Academica had 60% of the ball to Atletico CP's 40%, shots finished 11-8.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Academica and 1.67 for Atletico CP.

What was the final score of Academica vs Atletico CP?

Academica 1-1 Atletico CP in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 04/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Academica vs Atletico CP?

Before kick-off our model rated a Academica win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Academica 53%, draw 25%, Atletico CP 22%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Academica), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Academica) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
POR3 More Portugal - 3rd Division
4 May 2024
16:00 Lusitania FC Lourosa vs Sporting Braga II Analysis →
18:00 Dezembro vs Caldas Analysis →
18:00 Vianense vs Anadia Analysis →
18:00 Trofense vs Sanjoanense Analysis →
18:00 Canelas 2010 vs Fafe Analysis →
18:00 Sporting CP II vs Amora FC Analysis →