Atletico CP 1-3 Academica — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 10 Mar 2024

📅10/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.46
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
36%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.64
Over 2.5
42%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.88
No
54%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
9%
X/X
16%
2/1
10%
2/2
23%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
38%
-4.0pp
30%
Draw
28%
+1.5pp
36%
Away Win
34%
+2.4pp
58%
Under 2.5
57%
+1.0pp
42%
Over 2.5
43%
-1.0pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.4pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico CP EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Academica EU Bookmakers 37%
+32% / +32% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
2.01/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.40/1.27
+63% / +58% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -7%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
289 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 3.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico CP
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Academica
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 3
27.01.2024 Academica Academica 2-2 HT 1-1 Atletico CP Atletico CP POR3
29.10.2023 Atletico CP Atletico CP 2-1 HT 0-1 Academica Academica POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico CP
1-3
AWAY Academica
46% Ball Possession 54%
4 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 1
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Atletico CP vs Academica
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Academica got the better of Atletico CP 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (34% / 30% / 36%) promised a tight game; Academica found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Atletico CP had 46% of the ball to Academica's 54%, shots finished 4-12.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Atletico CP had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Atletico CP and 1.50 for Academica.

What was the final score of Atletico CP vs Academica?

Atletico CP 1-3 Academica in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 10/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico CP vs Academica?

Before kick-off our model rated an Academica win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Atletico CP 34%, draw 30%, Academica 36%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Academica) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Academica) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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