Felgueiras 1932 1-0 Varzim — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 10 Mar 2024

📅10/03/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.45
Draw
29%
3.94
Away
24%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.74
Over 2.5
46%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.27
No
53%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
6%
1/X
12%
X/1
14%
X/2
6%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
65%
-17.6pp
29%
Draw
22%
+6.3pp
24%
Away Win
13%
+11.1pp
54%
Under 2.5
54%
+0.6pp
46%
Over 2.5
46%
-0.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
40%
+6.9pp
53%
BTTS No
60%
-6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Felgueiras 1932 EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Varzim EU Bookmakers 16%
-8% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -27% / -27%
1.62/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/2.00
-5% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -11%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
322 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 245 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Felgueiras 1932
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Varzim
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 4
28.01.2024 Varzim Varzim 1-0 HT 1-0 Felgueiras 1932 Felgueiras 1932 POR3
29.10.2023 Felgueiras 1932 Felgueiras 1932 2-0 HT 1-0 Varzim Varzim POR3
20.01.2023 Felgueiras 1932 Felgueiras 1932 2-0 HT 1-0 Varzim Varzim POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Felgueiras 1932
1-0
AWAY Varzim
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Felgueiras 1932 vs Varzim
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Felgueiras 1932 edged past Varzim 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Felgueiras 1932 as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Felgueiras 1932 had 50% of the ball to Varzim's 50%, shots finished 12-5.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Felgueiras 1932 had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Felgueiras 1932 and 0.33 for Varzim.

What was the final score of Felgueiras 1932 vs Varzim?

Felgueiras 1932 1-0 Varzim in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 10/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Felgueiras 1932 vs Varzim?

Before kick-off our model rated a Felgueiras 1932 win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Felgueiras 1932 47%, draw 29%, Varzim 24%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Felgueiras 1932), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Felgueiras 1932) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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