Sporting Braga II 2-2 Lusitania FC Lourosa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 10 Mar 2024

📅10/03/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.57
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
34%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.74
Over 2.5
45%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.82
No
50%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
18%
X/2
11%
X/X
17%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
35%
+1.6pp
30%
Draw
27%
+2.7pp
34%
Away Win
38%
-4.3pp
55%
Under 2.5
54%
+0.9pp
45%
Over 2.5
46%
-0.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.9pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sporting Braga II EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Lusitania FC Lourosa EU Bookmakers 42%
+22% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +30% / +30%
1.02/0.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.96/0.26
-20% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +39% / +150%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
272 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 383 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sporting Braga II
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Lusitania FC Lourosa
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
16 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 2
12.11.2023 Lusitania FC Lourosa Lusitania FC Lourosa 5-0 HT 0-0 Sporting Braga II Sporting Braga II POR3
12.08.2023 Sporting Braga II Sporting Braga II 0-1 HT 0-1 Lusitania FC Lourosa Lusitania FC Lourosa POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sporting Braga II
2-2
AWAY Lusitania FC Lourosa
40% Ball Possession 60%
7 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sporting Braga II vs Lusitania FC Lourosa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sporting Braga II and Lusitania FC Lourosa shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 30% / 34% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Sporting Braga II had 40% of the ball to Lusitania FC Lourosa's 60%, shots finished 7-12.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Lusitania FC Lourosa led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Sporting Braga II and 3.00 for Lusitania FC Lourosa.

What was the final score of Sporting Braga II vs Lusitania FC Lourosa?

Sporting Braga II 2-2 Lusitania FC Lourosa in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 10/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sporting Braga II vs Lusitania FC Lourosa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sporting Braga II win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Sporting Braga II 37%, draw 30%, Lusitania FC Lourosa 34%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Sporting Braga II) ✗ Under 2.5
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