Pero Pinheiro 0-1 Amora FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 10 Mar 2024

📅10/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.17
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
45%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.75
Over 2.5
51%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.82
No
47%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
11%
1/X
4%
X/1
15%
X/2
16%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
28%
+2.8pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.3pp
45%
Away Win
45%
-0.5pp
49%
Under 2.5
53%
-4.0pp
51%
Over 2.5
47%
+4.0pp
53%
BTTS Yes
51%
+1.7pp
47%
BTTS No
49%
-1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pero Pinheiro EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Amora FC EU Bookmakers 49%
+27% / +27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +39% / +39%
1.75/1.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.30/1.06
+49% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +50% / +14%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
308 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 353 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pero Pinheiro
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Amora FC
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
16 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
17.12.2023 Amora FC Amora FC 3-0 HT 3-0 Pero Pinheiro Pero Pinheiro POR3
03.09.2023 Pero Pinheiro Pero Pinheiro 2-3 HT 1-0 Amora FC Amora FC POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pero Pinheiro
0-1
AWAY Amora FC
49% Ball Possession 51%
8 Total Shots 4
1 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Pero Pinheiro vs Amora FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Amora FC nicked a narrow win over Pero Pinheiro 1-0 away from home.

As we said in the preview, our model had Amora FC as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Pero Pinheiro had 49% of the ball to Amora FC's 51%, shots finished 8-4.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Amora FC led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Pero Pinheiro and 3.00 for Amora FC.

What was the final score of Pero Pinheiro vs Amora FC?

Pero Pinheiro 0-1 Amora FC in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 10/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pero Pinheiro vs Amora FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Amora FC win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Pero Pinheiro 31%, draw 24%, Amora FC 45%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Amora FC) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Amora FC) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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