Uniao Santarem 0-1 Caldas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 1 Sep 2024

Uniao Santarem
0-1 HT 0-1
Caldas
📅01/09/2024 · 🕒19:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✓
Portugal - 3rd Division – 2024/2025

Uniao Santarem vs Caldas Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.38
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
32%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.54
Over 2.5
45%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.99
No
47%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
10%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
11%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
11%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
38%
-1.0pp
30%
Draw
29%
+1.4pp
32%
Away Win
32%
-0.4pp
55%
Under 2.5
61%
-5.9pp
45%
Over 2.5
39%
+5.9pp
53%
BTTS Yes
46%
+6.8pp
47%
BTTS No
54%
-6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Uniao Santarem v Caldas — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Uniao Santarem EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Caldas EU Bookmakers 36%
+47% / +47% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
2.50/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.58/1.84
+103% / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +50% / -32%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
257 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 73%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.3

Uniao Santarem 0-1 Caldas — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Uniao Santarem
0-1
AWAY Caldas
63% Ball Possession 37%
16 Total Shots 4
5 Shots on Target 2
10 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Uniao Santarem vs Caldas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Caldas edged past Uniao Santarem 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (38% / 30% / 32%) promised a tight game; Caldas found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Uniao Santarem had 63% of the ball to Caldas's 37%, shots finished 16-4.

What was the final score of Uniao Santarem vs Caldas?

Uniao Santarem 0-1 Caldas in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 01/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Uniao Santarem vs Caldas?

Before kick-off our model rated a Uniao Santarem win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Uniao Santarem 38%, draw 30%, Caldas 32%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Uniao Santarem), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Uniao Santarem) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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