Sporting CP II 2-1 Academica — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 1 Sep 2024

📅01/09/2024 · 🕒19:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
2.25
Draw
20%
3.18
Away
32%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.71
Over 2.5
48%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.82
No
53%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
14%
X/X
6%
2/1
9%
2/2
13%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
41%
+7.4pp
20%
Draw
28%
-8.2pp
32%
Away Win
31%
+0.8pp
52%
Under 2.5
55%
-3.1pp
48%
Over 2.5
45%
+3.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.5pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sporting CP II EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Academica EU Bookmakers 34%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +4%
1.68/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/1.31
+37% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +37% / -2%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 7
263 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 254 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.1 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sporting CP II
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Academica
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 2
16.12.2023 Academica Academica 0-0 HT 0-0 Sporting CP II Sporting CP II POR3
03.09.2023 Sporting CP II Sporting CP II 1-2 HT 1-1 Academica Academica POR3
21.01.2023 Sporting CP II Sporting CP II 1-2 HT 1-1 Academica Academica POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sporting CP II
2-1
AWAY Academica
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sporting CP II vs Academica
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sporting CP II edged past Academica 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Sporting CP II as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Sporting CP II had 54% of the ball to Academica's 46%, shots finished 15-9.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Academica led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Sporting CP II and 1.33 for Academica.

What was the final score of Sporting CP II vs Academica?

Sporting CP II 2-1 Academica in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 01/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sporting CP II vs Academica?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sporting CP II win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Sporting CP II 48%, draw 20%, Academica 32%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sporting CP II) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sporting CP II) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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