Anadia 1-2 Vilaverdense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 1 Sep 2024

📅01/09/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
1.92
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
38%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.91
Over 2.5
45%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.7
No
52%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
18%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
48%
-11.5pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.9pp
38%
Away Win
27%
+10.6pp
55%
Under 2.5
48%
+7.0pp
45%
Over 2.5
52%
-7.0pp
48%
BTTS Yes
55%
-7.1pp
52%
BTTS No
45%
+7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Anadia EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Vilaverdense EU Bookmakers 31%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +21% / +21%
1.41/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.69/0.95
+11% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +68% / +30%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
332 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 3.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Anadia
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Vilaverdense
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
22.01.2023 Anadia Anadia 1-1 HT 1-1 Vilaverdense Vilaverdense POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Anadia
1-2
AWAY Vilaverdense
58% Ball Possession 42%
10 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Anadia vs Vilaverdense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vilaverdense squeezed past Anadia 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (36% / 26% / 38%) promised a tight game; Vilaverdense found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Anadia had 58% of the ball to Vilaverdense's 42%, shots finished 10-10.

What was the final score of Anadia vs Vilaverdense?

Anadia 1-2 Vilaverdense in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 01/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Anadia vs Vilaverdense?

Before kick-off our model rated an Vilaverdense win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Anadia 36%, draw 26%, Vilaverdense 38%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vilaverdense) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Vilaverdense) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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