Academica 2-2 Oliveira Hospital — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 30 Nov 2024

📅30/11/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.75
Draw
28%
3.64
Away
27%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
2.0
Over 2.5
42%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.73
No
52%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
53%
-7.7pp
28%
Draw
24%
+3.8pp
27%
Away Win
23%
+4.0pp
58%
Under 2.5
46%
+12.2pp
42%
Over 2.5
54%
-12.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
54%
-5.8pp
52%
BTTS No
46%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Academica EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Oliveira Hospital EU Bookmakers 26%
-25% / -25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -18% / -16%
1.82/1.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.67/1.85
+24% / -35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -33% / -33%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
367 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 335 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Academica
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Oliveira Hospital
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
18.08.2024 Oliveira Hospital Oliveira Hospital 1-1 HT 1-0 Academica Academica POR3
09.12.2023 Academica Academica 1-0 HT 1-0 Oliveira Hospital Oliveira Hospital POR3
24.09.2023 Academica Academica 3-2 HT 2-0 Oliveira Hospital Oliveira Hospital POK
27.08.2023 Oliveira Hospital Oliveira Hospital 1-1 HT 0-1 Academica Academica POR3
05.03.2023 Academica Academica 1-0 HT 0-0 Oliveira Hospital Oliveira Hospital POR3
26.11.2022 Oliveira Hospital Oliveira Hospital 2-2 HT 0-2 Academica Academica POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Academica
2-2
AWAY Oliveira Hospital
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 4
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Academica vs Oliveira Hospital
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Academica and Oliveira Hospital shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Academica at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Academica had 60% of the ball to Oliveira Hospital's 40%, shots finished 16-4.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Academica had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Academica and 1.00 for Oliveira Hospital.

What was the final score of Academica vs Oliveira Hospital?

Academica 2-2 Oliveira Hospital in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 30/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Academica vs Oliveira Hospital?

Before kick-off our model rated a Academica win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Academica 45%, draw 28%, Oliveira Hospital 27%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Academica) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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