Sanjoanense 0-1 Fafe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 30 Nov 2024

📅30/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
4.13
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
46%
1.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.75
Over 2.5
51%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
1.95
No
60%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
5%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
27%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
21%
+6.8pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.1pp
46%
Away Win
54%
-7.8pp
49%
Under 2.5
53%
-4.0pp
51%
Over 2.5
47%
+4.0pp
40%
BTTS Yes
47%
-7.1pp
60%
BTTS No
53%
+7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sanjoanense EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Fafe EU Bookmakers 58%
-18% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +28% / +28%
0.58/1.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.00/0.00
-53% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +75% /
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
232 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 486 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sanjoanense
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Fafe
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 2
17.08.2024 Fafe Fafe 1-1 HT 0-0 Sanjoanense Sanjoanense POR3
30.03.2024 Sanjoanense Sanjoanense 4-2 HT 1-0 Fafe Fafe POR3
09.03.2024 Fafe Fafe 0-2 HT 0-0 Sanjoanense Sanjoanense POR3
10.12.2023 Fafe Fafe 1-1 HT 1-0 Sanjoanense Sanjoanense POR3
27.08.2023 Sanjoanense Sanjoanense 1-1 HT 0-1 Fafe Fafe POR3
04.03.2023 Sanjoanense Sanjoanense 4-0 HT 2-0 Fafe Fafe POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sanjoanense
0-1
AWAY Fafe
57% Ball Possession 43%
6 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Sanjoanense vs Fafe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fafe nicked a narrow win over Sanjoanense 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Fafe as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (60%) came in.

On the day, Sanjoanense had 57% of the ball to Fafe's 43%, shots finished 6-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sanjoanense had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Sanjoanense and 0.83 for Fafe.

What was the final score of Sanjoanense vs Fafe?

Sanjoanense 0-1 Fafe in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 30/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sanjoanense vs Fafe?

Before kick-off our model rated an Fafe win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Sanjoanense 28%, draw 26%, Fafe 46%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fafe), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Fafe) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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