Fafe 1-1 Sanjoanense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 17 Aug 2024

📅17/08/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.57
Draw
28%
3.72
Away
25%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.74
Over 2.5
46%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.06
No
53%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
5%
X/X
15%
2/1
4%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
59%
-12.1pp
28%
Draw
23%
+4.9pp
25%
Away Win
17%
+7.2pp
54%
Under 2.5
54%
-0.0pp
46%
Over 2.5
46%
+0.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
44%
+2.6pp
53%
BTTS No
56%
-2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fafe EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Sanjoanense EU Bookmakers 21%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +42% / +42%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +52% / +23%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
310 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fafe
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Sanjoanense
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
30.03.2024 Sanjoanense Sanjoanense 4-2 HT 1-0 Fafe Fafe POR3
09.03.2024 Fafe Fafe 0-2 HT 0-0 Sanjoanense Sanjoanense POR3
10.12.2023 Fafe Fafe 1-1 HT 1-0 Sanjoanense Sanjoanense POR3
27.08.2023 Sanjoanense Sanjoanense 1-1 HT 0-1 Fafe Fafe POR3
04.03.2023 Sanjoanense Sanjoanense 4-0 HT 2-0 Fafe Fafe POR3
26.11.2022 Fafe Fafe 1-1 HT 0-0 Sanjoanense Sanjoanense POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fafe
1-1
AWAY Sanjoanense
47% Ball Possession 53%
15 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Fafe vs Sanjoanense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fafe and Sanjoanense shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Fafe at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Fafe had 47% of the ball to Sanjoanense's 53%, shots finished 15-12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sanjoanense led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Fafe and 2.17 for Sanjoanense.

What was the final score of Fafe vs Sanjoanense?

Fafe 1-1 Sanjoanense in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 17/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fafe vs Sanjoanense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fafe win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Fafe 47%, draw 28%, Sanjoanense 25%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Fafe), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Fafe) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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