Trofense 1-0 Vilaverdense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 17 Aug 2024

📅17/08/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.61
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
25%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.68
Over 2.5
44%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.13
No
54%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
15%
2/1
12%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
58%
-10.2pp
27%
Draw
24%
+3.2pp
25%
Away Win
18%
+7.1pp
56%
Under 2.5
56%
+0.5pp
44%
Over 2.5
44%
-0.5pp
46%
BTTS Yes
43%
+3.5pp
54%
BTTS No
57%
-3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Trofense EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Vilaverdense EU Bookmakers 21%
-34% / -34% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-13% / -38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
332 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Trofense
1-0
AWAY Vilaverdense
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Trofense vs Vilaverdense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Trofense squeezed past Vilaverdense 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Trofense as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Trofense had 51% of the ball to Vilaverdense's 49%, shots finished 12-8.

What was the final score of Trofense vs Vilaverdense?

Trofense 1-0 Vilaverdense in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 17/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Trofense vs Vilaverdense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Trofense win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Trofense 48%, draw 27%, Vilaverdense 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Trofense), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Trofense) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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