Anadia 1-3 Sporting Braga II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 17 Aug 2024

📅17/08/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.99
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
42%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.68
Over 2.5
42%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.85
No
52%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
24%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
30%
-1.3pp
29%
Draw
28%
+0.3pp
42%
Away Win
41%
+1.0pp
58%
Under 2.5
56%
+2.4pp
42%
Over 2.5
44%
-2.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
50%
-2.1pp
52%
BTTS No
50%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Anadia EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Sporting Braga II EU Bookmakers 45%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
0.97/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.41/1.12
-25% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +12%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 7
332 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Anadia
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Sporting Braga II
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.25
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 3
17.12.2023 Sporting Braga II Sporting Braga II 4-0 HT 2-0 Anadia Anadia POR3
02.09.2023 Anadia Anadia 3-1 HT 1-0 Sporting Braga II Sporting Braga II POR3
12.02.2023 Sporting Braga II Sporting Braga II 4-1 HT 1-0 Anadia Anadia POR3
30.10.2022 Anadia Anadia 0-0 HT 0-0 Sporting Braga II Sporting Braga II POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Anadia
1-3
AWAY Sporting Braga II
52% Ball Possession 48%
5 Total Shots 11
1 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Anadia vs Sporting Braga II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sporting Braga II got the better of Anadia 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Sporting Braga II as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Anadia had 52% of the ball to Sporting Braga II's 48%, shots finished 5-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Sporting Braga II led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Anadia and 2.25 for Sporting Braga II.

What was the final score of Anadia vs Sporting Braga II?

Anadia 1-3 Sporting Braga II in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 17/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Anadia vs Sporting Braga II?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sporting Braga II win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Anadia 29%, draw 29%, Sporting Braga II 42%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sporting Braga II) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sporting Braga II) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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