Sao Joao Ver 0-3 Amarante — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 17 Aug 2024

Sao Joao Ver
0-3 HT 0-1
Amarante
📅17/08/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Portugal - 3rd Division – 2024/2025

Sao Joao Ver vs Amarante Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.27
Draw
30%
2.94
Away
27%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.56
Over 2.5
37%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.99
No
57%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
7%
X/X
18%
2/1
11%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
40%
+2.7pp
30%
Draw
30%
+0.1pp
27%
Away Win
30%
-2.8pp
63%
Under 2.5
60%
+2.6pp
37%
Over 2.5
40%
-2.6pp
43%
BTTS Yes
46%
-3.1pp
57%
BTTS No
54%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sao Joao Ver v Amarante — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sao Joao Ver EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Amarante EU Bookmakers 33%
-27% / -27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-46% / +59% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
300 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.3 Yellow Cards –

Sao Joao Ver 0-3 Amarante — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sao Joao Ver
0-3
AWAY Amarante
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sao Joao Ver vs Amarante
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Amarante cruised past Sao Joao Ver 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Sao Joao Ver at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, no to both teams scoring (57%) landed while under 2.5 goals (63%) missed.

On the day, Sao Joao Ver had 52% of the ball to Amarante's 48%, shots finished 14-12.

What was the final score of Sao Joao Ver vs Amarante?

Sao Joao Ver 0-3 Amarante in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 17/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sao Joao Ver vs Amarante?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sao Joao Ver win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Sao Joao Ver 43%, draw 30%, Amarante 27%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Sao Joao Ver), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sao Joao Ver) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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