Fafe 0-2 Sanjoanense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 9 Mar 2024

📅09/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
1.86
Draw
31%
3.45
Away
30%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.74
Over 2.5
49%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.9
No
51%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
10%
X/X
17%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
50%
-10.4pp
31%
Draw
26%
+5.1pp
30%
Away Win
24%
+5.4pp
51%
Under 2.5
54%
-2.3pp
49%
Over 2.5
46%
+2.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.4pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fafe EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Sanjoanense EU Bookmakers 28%
-18% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
0.73/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.73/0.87
-46% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -30% / +46%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
299 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fafe
0W-3D-1L
AWAY Sanjoanense
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
10.12.2023 Fafe Fafe 1-1 HT 1-0 Sanjoanense Sanjoanense POR3
27.08.2023 Sanjoanense Sanjoanense 1-1 HT 0-1 Fafe Fafe POR3
04.03.2023 Sanjoanense Sanjoanense 4-0 HT 2-0 Fafe Fafe POR3
26.11.2022 Fafe Fafe 1-1 HT 0-0 Sanjoanense Sanjoanense POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fafe
0-2
AWAY Sanjoanense
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
11 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Fafe vs Sanjoanense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sanjoanense got the better of Fafe 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (40% / 31% / 30%) promised a tight game; Sanjoanense found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Fafe had 52% of the ball to Sanjoanense's 48%, shots finished 16-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Sanjoanense led the recent series with 1 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Fafe and 1.75 for Sanjoanense.

What was the final score of Fafe vs Sanjoanense?

Fafe 0-2 Sanjoanense in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fafe vs Sanjoanense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fafe win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Fafe 40%, draw 31%, Sanjoanense 30%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Fafe) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Fafe) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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