Alverca vs Sporting Covilha Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Alverca v Sporting Covilha — Team-Based Signals
Alverca vs Sporting Covilha Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
2-2
HT 0-1
Sporting Covilha
POR3
1-2
HT 0-1
Alverca
POR3
Alverca 1-0 Sporting Covilha — Actual Match Statistics
Alverca nicked a narrow win over Sporting Covilha 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we said in the preview, our model had Alverca as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Alverca had 61% of the ball to Sporting Covilha's 39%, shots finished 8-10.
Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Alverca had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Alverca and 1.50 for Sporting Covilha.
What was the final score of Alverca vs Sporting Covilha?
Alverca 1-0 Sporting Covilha in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Alverca vs Sporting Covilha?
Before kick-off our model rated a Alverca win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Alverca 44%, draw 28%, Sporting Covilha 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alverca), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.