Oliveira Hospital 1-0 Dezembro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 9 Mar 2024

📅09/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.05
Draw
30%
3.35
Away
32%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.64
Over 2.5
40%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.96
No
59%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
12%
X/X
15%
2/1
10%
2/2
15%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
45%
-7.1pp
30%
Draw
27%
+3.0pp
32%
Away Win
28%
+4.0pp
60%
Under 2.5
57%
+2.8pp
40%
Over 2.5
43%
-2.8pp
41%
BTTS Yes
47%
-5.6pp
59%
BTTS No
53%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Oliveira Hospital EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Dezembro EU Bookmakers 32%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-50% / -45% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
432 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 257 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Oliveira Hospital
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Dezembro
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
32% Ball Possession 68%
8 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.01.2024 Oliveira Hospital Oliveira Hospital 1-1 HT 1-0 Dezembro Dezembro POR3
29.10.2023 Dezembro Dezembro 0-2 HT 0-0 Oliveira Hospital Oliveira Hospital POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Oliveira Hospital
1-0
AWAY Dezembro
40% Ball Possession 60%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Oliveira Hospital vs Dezembro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Oliveira Hospital squeezed past Dezembro 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (38% / 30% / 32%) promised a tight game; Oliveira Hospital found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Oliveira Hospital had 40% of the ball to Dezembro's 60%, shots finished 12-13.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Oliveira Hospital had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Oliveira Hospital and 0.50 for Dezembro.

What was the final score of Oliveira Hospital vs Dezembro?

Oliveira Hospital 1-0 Dezembro in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Oliveira Hospital vs Dezembro?

Before kick-off our model rated a Oliveira Hospital win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Oliveira Hospital 38%, draw 30%, Dezembro 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Oliveira Hospital), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Oliveira Hospital) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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