Canelas 2010 1-3 Vianense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 9 Mar 2024

📅09/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.09
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
30%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.71
Over 2.5
47%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.85
No
50%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
10%
2/2
12%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
44%
-0.0pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.9pp
30%
Away Win
29%
+0.9pp
53%
Under 2.5
55%
-2.0pp
47%
Over 2.5
45%
+2.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
50%
+0.1pp
50%
BTTS No
50%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Canelas 2010 EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Vianense EU Bookmakers 32%
+35% / +35% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -41% / -41%
1.47/0.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.47/2.00
+15% / +74% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -57% / -37%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
315 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 250 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.2 Yellow Cards 0.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Canelas 2010
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Vianense
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
17.12.2023 Vianense Vianense 0-0 HT 0-0 Canelas 2010 Canelas 2010 POR3
03.09.2023 Canelas 2010 Canelas 2010 2-1 HT 2-1 Vianense Vianense POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Canelas 2010
1-3
AWAY Vianense
61% Ball Possession 39%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Canelas 2010 vs Vianense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vianense saw off Canelas 2010 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Canelas 2010 at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Canelas 2010 had 61% of the ball to Vianense's 39%, shots finished 10-13.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Canelas 2010 had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Canelas 2010 and 0.50 for Vianense.

What was the final score of Canelas 2010 vs Vianense?

Canelas 2010 1-3 Vianense in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Canelas 2010 vs Vianense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Canelas 2010 win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Canelas 2010 44%, draw 26%, Vianense 30%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Canelas 2010) ✗ Under 2.5
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