Sporting CP II 3-0 Caldas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 9 Mar 2024

📅09/03/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.05
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
32%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.67
Over 2.5
49%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.9
No
49%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
16%
X/2
11%
X/X
9%
2/1
11%
2/2
16%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
45%
-1.9pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.4pp
32%
Away Win
28%
+4.3pp
51%
Under 2.5
56%
-5.6pp
49%
Over 2.5
44%
+5.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
49%
+2.3pp
49%
BTTS No
51%
-2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sporting CP II EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Caldas EU Bookmakers 32%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
1.44/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.25/2.14
+14% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +117% / -42%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
334 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.1 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sporting CP II
2W-0D-2L
AWAY Caldas
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 3
14.01.2024 Caldas Caldas 1-0 HT 1-0 Sporting CP II Sporting CP II POR3
30.09.2023 Sporting CP II Sporting CP II 1-3 HT 0-1 Caldas Caldas POR3
11.03.2023 Sporting CP II Sporting CP II 3-2 HT 1-1 Caldas Caldas POR3
03.12.2022 Caldas Caldas 0-2 HT 0-1 Sporting CP II Sporting CP II POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sporting CP II
3-0
AWAY Caldas
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 20
5 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Sporting CP II vs Caldas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sporting CP II cruised past Caldas 3-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Sporting CP II as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Sporting CP II had 51% of the ball to Caldas's 49%, shots finished 12-20.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Sporting CP II and 1.50 for Caldas.

What was the final score of Sporting CP II vs Caldas?

Sporting CP II 3-0 Caldas in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sporting CP II vs Caldas?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sporting CP II win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Sporting CP II 43%, draw 25%, Caldas 32%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sporting CP II) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sporting CP II) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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