Caldas vs Sporting Covilha Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Caldas v Sporting Covilha — Team-Based Signals
Caldas vs Sporting Covilha Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
4-3
HT 0-2
Caldas
POR3
3-0
HT 1-0
Sporting Covilha
POK
1-1
HT 1-0
Sporting Covilha
POK
Caldas 1-2 Sporting Covilha — Actual Match Statistics
Sporting Covilha edged past Caldas 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Our pre-match lean was Caldas at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Caldas had 53% of the ball to Sporting Covilha's 47%, shots finished 14-9.
For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.80 goals for Caldas and 1.40 for Sporting Covilha.
What was the final score of Caldas vs Sporting Covilha?
Caldas 1-2 Sporting Covilha in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 30/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Caldas vs Sporting Covilha?
Before kick-off our model rated a Caldas win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Caldas 41%, draw 28%, Sporting Covilha 31%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.