Lusitania FC Lourosa 0-0 Varzim — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 30 Nov 2024

📅30/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
2.05
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
26%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.75
Over 2.5
48%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.81
No
51%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
22%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
45%
+3.2pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.9pp
26%
Away Win
28%
-2.3pp
52%
Under 2.5
53%
-0.9pp
48%
Over 2.5
47%
+0.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.8pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lusitania FC Lourosa EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Varzim EU Bookmakers 32%
+22% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -24% / -24%
2.26/0.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.55/1.39
+86% / +36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -49% / -6%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
294 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 241 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lusitania FC Lourosa
1W-1D-3L
AWAY Varzim
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.80
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
16.08.2024 Varzim Varzim 1-0 HT 0-0 Lusitania FC Lourosa Lusitania FC Lourosa POR3
07.04.2024 Varzim Varzim 4-3 HT 3-3 Lusitania FC Lourosa Lusitania FC Lourosa POR3
11.02.2024 Lusitania FC Lourosa Lusitania FC Lourosa 1-0 HT 1-0 Varzim Varzim POR3
08.12.2023 Lusitania FC Lourosa Lusitania FC Lourosa 1-1 HT 1-1 Varzim Varzim POR3
25.08.2023 Varzim Varzim 3-0 HT 1-0 Lusitania FC Lourosa Lusitania FC Lourosa POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lusitania FC Lourosa
0-0
AWAY Varzim
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 7
POST-MATCH Lusitania FC Lourosa vs Varzim
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lusitania FC Lourosa and Varzim fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Lusitania FC Lourosa at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Lusitania FC Lourosa had 52% of the ball to Varzim's 48%, shots finished 11-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Varzim led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Lusitania FC Lourosa and 1.80 for Varzim.

What was the final score of Lusitania FC Lourosa vs Varzim?

Lusitania FC Lourosa 0-0 Varzim in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 30/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lusitania FC Lourosa vs Varzim?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lusitania FC Lourosa win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Lusitania FC Lourosa 48%, draw 26%, Varzim 26%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Lusitania FC Lourosa) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lusitania FC Lourosa) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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