Sporting Covilha vs Caldas Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Sporting Covilha v Caldas — Team-Based Signals
Sporting Covilha vs Caldas Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
4-3
HT 0-2
Caldas
POR3
3-0
HT 1-0
Sporting Covilha
POK
1-1
HT 1-0
Sporting Covilha
POK
Sporting Covilha 1-0 Caldas — Actual Match Statistics
Sporting Covilha edged past Caldas 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match split (33% / 27% / 40%) promised a tight game; Sporting Covilha found the edge the numbers couldn't.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, Sporting Covilha had 50% of the ball to Caldas's 50%, shots finished 10-16.
Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Caldas led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Sporting Covilha and 2.25 for Caldas.
What was the final score of Sporting Covilha vs Caldas?
Sporting Covilha 1-0 Caldas in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 18/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Sporting Covilha vs Caldas?
Before kick-off our model rated an Caldas win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Sporting Covilha 33%, draw 27%, Caldas 40%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Caldas) went the other way.