Oliveira Hospital 1-1 Academica — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 18 Aug 2024

📅18/08/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.32
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
42%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.07
Over 2.5
48%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.63
No
49%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
17%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
19%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
27%
+5.7pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.7pp
42%
Away Win
49%
-7.4pp
52%
Under 2.5
44%
+7.7pp
48%
Over 2.5
56%
-7.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
57%
-6.3pp
49%
BTTS No
43%
+6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Oliveira Hospital EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Academica EU Bookmakers 54%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +13%
1.37/1.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.87/0.45
+18% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / +150%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
368 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 370 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Oliveira Hospital
0W-2D-3L
AWAY Academica
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.60
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
09.12.2023 Academica Academica 1-0 HT 1-0 Oliveira Hospital Oliveira Hospital POR3
24.09.2023 Academica Academica 3-2 HT 2-0 Oliveira Hospital Oliveira Hospital POK
27.08.2023 Oliveira Hospital Oliveira Hospital 1-1 HT 0-1 Academica Academica POR3
05.03.2023 Academica Academica 1-0 HT 0-0 Oliveira Hospital Oliveira Hospital POR3
26.11.2022 Oliveira Hospital Oliveira Hospital 2-2 HT 0-2 Academica Academica POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Oliveira Hospital
1-1
AWAY Academica
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Oliveira Hospital vs Academica
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Oliveira Hospital and Academica couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Academica at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Oliveira Hospital had 45% of the ball to Academica's 55%, shots finished 11-9.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Academica led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Oliveira Hospital and 1.60 for Academica.

What was the final score of Oliveira Hospital vs Academica?

Oliveira Hospital 1-1 Academica in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 18/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Oliveira Hospital vs Academica?

Before kick-off our model rated an Academica win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Oliveira Hospital 32%, draw 26%, Academica 42%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Academica) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Academica) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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