Atletico CP 0-1 CF Os Belenenses — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 18 Aug 2024

Atletico CP
0-1 HT 0-0
CF Os Belenenses
📅18/08/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✓
Portugal - 3rd Division – 2024/2025

Atletico CP vs CF Os Belenenses Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.05
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
34%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.67
Over 2.5
42%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.9
No
55%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
18%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
45%
-4.7pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.6pp
34%
Away Win
28%
+5.3pp
58%
Under 2.5
56%
+1.5pp
42%
Over 2.5
44%
-1.5pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.2pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Atletico CP v CF Os Belenenses — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico CP EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY CF Os Belenenses EU Bookmakers 32%
-22% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
1.00/1.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.59/1.85
-19% / -40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +46% / -32%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
320 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.6

Atletico CP 0-1 CF Os Belenenses — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico CP
0-1
AWAY CF Os Belenenses
64% Ball Possession 36%
10 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 1
10 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Atletico CP vs CF Os Belenenses
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CF Os Belenenses squeezed past Atletico CP 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (40% / 26% / 34%) promised a tight game; CF Os Belenenses found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Atletico CP had 64% of the ball to CF Os Belenenses's 36%, shots finished 10-8.

What was the final score of Atletico CP vs CF Os Belenenses?

Atletico CP 0-1 CF Os Belenenses in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 18/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico CP vs CF Os Belenenses?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico CP win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Atletico CP 40%, draw 26%, CF Os Belenenses 34%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Atletico CP) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Atletico CP) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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