Caldas 0-1 Uniao Santarem — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 12 Apr 2025

📅12/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.12
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
30%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.54
Over 2.5
39%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.19
No
59%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
15%
X/2
16%
X/X
15%
2/1
4%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
43%
+0.7pp
26%
Draw
29%
-3.0pp
30%
Away Win
28%
+2.3pp
61%
Under 2.5
61%
+0.5pp
39%
Over 2.5
39%
-0.5pp
41%
BTTS Yes
42%
-0.7pp
59%
BTTS No
58%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Caldas EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Uniao Santarem EU Bookmakers 32%
-13% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +21% / +21%
1.05/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/0.99
-17% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +44% / +32%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
412 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 358 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Caldas
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Uniao Santarem
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
7 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 2
16.03.2025 Uniao Santarem Uniao Santarem 0-0 HT 0-0 Caldas Caldas POR3
15.12.2024 Caldas Caldas 0-3 HT 0-1 Uniao Santarem Uniao Santarem POR3
01.09.2024 Uniao Santarem Uniao Santarem 0-1 HT 0-1 Caldas Caldas POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Caldas
0-1
AWAY Uniao Santarem
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Caldas vs Uniao Santarem
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Uniao Santarem nicked a narrow win over Caldas 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Caldas at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Caldas had 51% of the ball to Uniao Santarem's 49%, shots finished 11-6.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Caldas and 1.00 for Uniao Santarem.

What was the final score of Caldas vs Uniao Santarem?

Caldas 0-1 Uniao Santarem in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Caldas vs Uniao Santarem?

Before kick-off our model rated a Caldas win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Caldas 44%, draw 26%, Uniao Santarem 30%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Caldas) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Caldas) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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