Sanjoanense 2-1 Vilaverdense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 15 Mar 2025

📅15/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.92
Draw
22%
3.35
Away
34%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.78
Over 2.5
47%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.82
No
54%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
15%
X/2
13%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
48%
-4.1pp
22%
Draw
26%
-4.0pp
34%
Away Win
26%
+8.0pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+0.9pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-0.9pp
46%
BTTS Yes
51%
-5.3pp
54%
BTTS No
49%
+5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sanjoanense EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Vilaverdense EU Bookmakers 29%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
1.53/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.55
+15% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -19%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
291 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.4 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sanjoanense
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Vilaverdense
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 3
09.11.2024 Sanjoanense Sanjoanense 1-0 HT 1-0 Vilaverdense Vilaverdense POR3
10.08.2024 Vilaverdense Vilaverdense 1-1 HT 0-1 Sanjoanense Sanjoanense POR3
30.04.2023 Sanjoanense Sanjoanense 0-0 HT 0-0 Vilaverdense Vilaverdense POR3
08.04.2023 Vilaverdense Vilaverdense 2-0 HT 1-0 Sanjoanense Sanjoanense POR3
05.02.2023 Sanjoanense Sanjoanense 1-1 HT 1-1 Vilaverdense Vilaverdense POR3
22.10.2022 Vilaverdense Vilaverdense 0-0 HT 0-0 Sanjoanense Sanjoanense POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sanjoanense
2-1
AWAY Vilaverdense
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sanjoanense vs Vilaverdense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sanjoanense squeezed past Vilaverdense 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Sanjoanense as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Sanjoanense had 52% of the ball to Vilaverdense's 48%, shots finished 12-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Sanjoanense and 0.67 for Vilaverdense.

What was the final score of Sanjoanense vs Vilaverdense?

Sanjoanense 2-1 Vilaverdense in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 15/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sanjoanense vs Vilaverdense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sanjoanense win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Sanjoanense 44%, draw 22%, Vilaverdense 34%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sanjoanense) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sanjoanense) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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