Anadia 1-1 Trofense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 15 Mar 2025

📅15/03/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.8
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
35%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.71
Over 2.5
48%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.82
No
52%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
12%
X/2
13%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
32%
+4.9pp
27%
Draw
28%
-0.7pp
35%
Away Win
40%
-4.2pp
52%
Under 2.5
55%
-2.7pp
48%
Over 2.5
45%
+2.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.8pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Anadia EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Trofense EU Bookmakers 43%
+6% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
1.25/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.51/1.48
-5% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -14%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
207 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Anadia
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Trofense
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 2
12.01.2025 Trofense Trofense 3-0 HT 2-0 Anadia Anadia POR3
28.09.2024 Anadia Anadia 4-2 HT 1-0 Trofense Trofense POR3
30.03.2024 Anadia Anadia 1-1 HT 1-0 Trofense Trofense POR3
09.03.2024 Trofense Trofense 0-0 HT 0-0 Anadia Anadia POR3
28.01.2024 Trofense Trofense 1-0 HT 0-0 Anadia Anadia POR3
29.10.2023 Anadia Anadia 3-3 HT 2-0 Trofense Trofense POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Anadia
1-1
AWAY Trofense
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Anadia vs Trofense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Anadia and Trofense couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (37% / 27% / 35%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Anadia had 55% of the ball to Trofense's 45%, shots finished 10-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Trofense led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Anadia and 1.67 for Trofense.

What was the final score of Anadia vs Trofense?

Anadia 1-1 Trofense in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 15/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Anadia vs Trofense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Anadia win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Anadia 37%, draw 27%, Trofense 35%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Anadia), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Anadia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
POR3 More Portugal - 3rd Division
15 Mar 2025
14:00 Sporting CP II vs Fafe Analysis →
16:00 Lusitania vs Sporting Covilha Analysis →
18:00 Atletico CP vs Lusitania FC Lourosa Analysis →
18:00 Sao Joao Ver vs Sporting Braga II Analysis →
18:00 Sanjoanense vs Vilaverdense Analysis →
20:30 CF Os Belenenses vs Amarante Analysis →