Anadia 4-2 Trofense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 28 Sep 2024

📅28/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
2.84
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
42%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.68
Over 2.5
44%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.85
No
51%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
7%
X/2
11%
X/X
17%
2/1
6%
2/2
22%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
32%
-3.3pp
30%
Draw
28%
+2.0pp
42%
Away Win
41%
+1.3pp
56%
Under 2.5
56%
+0.7pp
44%
Over 2.5
44%
-0.7pp
49%
BTTS Yes
50%
-0.5pp
51%
BTTS No
50%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Anadia EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Trofense EU Bookmakers 45%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +17%
0.97/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.20/1.13
-25% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +58% / +10%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
325 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Anadia
0W-3D-1L
AWAY Trofense
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 3
30.03.2024 Anadia Anadia 1-1 HT 1-0 Trofense Trofense POR3
09.03.2024 Trofense Trofense 0-0 HT 0-0 Anadia Anadia POR3
28.01.2024 Trofense Trofense 1-0 HT 0-0 Anadia Anadia POR3
29.10.2023 Anadia Anadia 3-3 HT 2-0 Trofense Trofense POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Anadia
4-2
AWAY Trofense
39% Ball Possession 61%
12 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Anadia vs Trofense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Anadia saw off Trofense 4-2. Half-time: 1-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Trofense at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Anadia had 39% of the ball to Trofense's 61%, shots finished 12-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Trofense led the recent series with 1 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Anadia and 1.25 for Trofense.

What was the final score of Anadia vs Trofense?

Anadia 4-2 Trofense in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Anadia vs Trofense?

Before kick-off our model rated an Trofense win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Anadia 28%, draw 30%, Trofense 42%. The final score 4-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Trofense) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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