Academica vs Caldas Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Academica v Caldas — Team-Based Signals
Academica vs Caldas Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-0
Caldas
POR3
0-2
HT 0-1
Academica
POR3
2-1
HT 0-1
Caldas
POR3
1-0
HT 1-0
Academica
POR3
1-4
HT 0-1
Caldas
POR3
Academica 2-3 Caldas — Actual Match Statistics
Caldas edged past Academica 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match split (40% / 28% / 32%) promised a tight game; Caldas found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Academica had 63% of the ball to Caldas's 37%, shots finished 17-12.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Academica and 1.33 for Caldas.
What was the final score of Academica vs Caldas?
Academica 2-3 Caldas in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Academica vs Caldas?
Before kick-off our model rated a Academica win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Academica 40%, draw 28%, Caldas 32%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.