Anadia 1-1 Trofense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 30 Mar 2024

📅30/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.46
Draw
32%
3.04
Away
37%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.62
Over 2.5
47%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.9
No
46%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
19%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
11%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
37%
-6.2pp
32%
Draw
30%
+2.4pp
37%
Away Win
33%
+3.8pp
53%
Under 2.5
58%
-4.9pp
47%
Over 2.5
42%
+4.9pp
54%
BTTS Yes
49%
+5.3pp
46%
BTTS No
51%
-5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Anadia EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Trofense EU Bookmakers 37%
-18% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
0.92/1.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.99/1.28
-27% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +51% / -7%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
272 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Anadia
0W-2D-1L
AWAY Trofense
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 3
09.03.2024 Trofense Trofense 0-0 HT 0-0 Anadia Anadia POR3
28.01.2024 Trofense Trofense 1-0 HT 0-0 Anadia Anadia POR3
29.10.2023 Anadia Anadia 3-3 HT 2-0 Trofense Trofense POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Anadia
1-1
AWAY Trofense
46% Ball Possession 54%
4 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 11
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Anadia vs Trofense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Anadia and Trofense shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 31% / 32% / 37% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Anadia had 46% of the ball to Trofense's 54%, shots finished 4-18.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Trofense led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Anadia and 1.33 for Trofense.

What was the final score of Anadia vs Trofense?

Anadia 1-1 Trofense in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 30/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Anadia vs Trofense?

Before kick-off our model rated an Trofense win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Anadia 31%, draw 32%, Trofense 37%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Trofense) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Trofense) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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