Amora FC 4-1 Pero Pinheiro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 30 Mar 2024

📅30/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.64
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
26%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.82
Over 2.5
50%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.9
No
54%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
57%
-9.2pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.4pp
26%
Away Win
18%
+7.8pp
50%
Under 2.5
51%
-1.1pp
50%
Over 2.5
49%
+1.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.6pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Amora FC EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Pero Pinheiro EU Bookmakers 21%
+33% / +33% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
2.41/0.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.66/1.69
+65% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -35% / -22%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
340 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Amora FC
3W-0D-0L
AWAY Pero Pinheiro
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
10.03.2024 Pero Pinheiro Pero Pinheiro 0-1 HT 0-1 Amora FC Amora FC POR3
17.12.2023 Amora FC Amora FC 3-0 HT 3-0 Pero Pinheiro Pero Pinheiro POR3
03.09.2023 Pero Pinheiro Pero Pinheiro 2-3 HT 1-0 Amora FC Amora FC POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Amora FC
4-1
AWAY Pero Pinheiro
71% Ball Possession 29%
16 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Amora FC vs Pero Pinheiro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Amora FC ran out comfortable winners over Pero Pinheiro 4-1. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Amora FC as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Amora FC had 71% of the ball to Pero Pinheiro's 29%, shots finished 16-8.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Amora FC had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Amora FC and 0.67 for Pero Pinheiro.

What was the final score of Amora FC vs Pero Pinheiro?

Amora FC 4-1 Pero Pinheiro in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 30/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Amora FC vs Pero Pinheiro?

Before kick-off our model rated a Amora FC win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Amora FC 48%, draw 26%, Pero Pinheiro 26%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Amora FC) — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Amora FC) ✗ BTTS No
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