Varzim 0-2 Academica — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 30 Mar 2024

📅30/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.33
Draw
30%
3.04
Away
34%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.56
Over 2.5
47%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.99
No
52%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
11%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
39%
-2.5pp
30%
Draw
29%
+0.7pp
34%
Away Win
32%
+1.8pp
53%
Under 2.5
60%
-7.6pp
47%
Over 2.5
40%
+7.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
46%
+1.7pp
52%
BTTS No
54%
-1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Varzim EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Academica EU Bookmakers 36%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
1.11/0.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.31
-10% / +67% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / -3%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
286 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 260 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Varzim
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Academica
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.41 xG 1.23
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 5
240 Passes 284
74% Pass Accuracy 77%
20 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 3
19.07.2023 Academica Academica 2-1 Varzim Varzim HAZ
22.01.2022 Varzim Varzim 1-0 HT 0-0 Academica Academica POR2
14.08.2021 Academica Academica 1-1 HT 0-0 Varzim Varzim POR2
01.03.2021 Academica Academica 1-2 HT 1-1 Varzim Varzim POR2
23.11.2020 Academica Academica 1-0 HT 0-0 Varzim Varzim POK
04.10.2020 Varzim Varzim 0-1 HT 0-0 Academica Academica POR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Varzim
0-2
AWAY Academica
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 13
1 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Varzim vs Academica
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Academica got the better of Varzim 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 30% / 34% — and on the day Academica made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Varzim had 50% of the ball to Academica's 50%, shots finished 14-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Academica led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Varzim and 1.00 for Academica.

What was the final score of Varzim vs Academica?

Varzim 0-2 Academica in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 30/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Varzim vs Academica?

Before kick-off our model rated a Varzim win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Varzim 36%, draw 30%, Academica 34%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Varzim) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Varzim) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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