Trofense 3-0 Anadia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 12 Jan 2025

📅12/01/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.8
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
28%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.68
Over 2.5
43%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.96
No
57%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
52%
-6.8pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.6pp
28%
Away Win
22%
+6.3pp
57%
Under 2.5
56%
+1.4pp
43%
Over 2.5
44%
-1.4pp
43%
BTTS Yes
47%
-3.4pp
57%
BTTS No
53%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Trofense EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Anadia EU Bookmakers 25%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
1.09/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/1.66
-20% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / -19%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
390 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 261 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Trofense
1W-3D-1L
AWAY Anadia
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.60
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 3
28.09.2024 Anadia Anadia 4-2 HT 1-0 Trofense Trofense POR3
30.03.2024 Anadia Anadia 1-1 HT 1-0 Trofense Trofense POR3
09.03.2024 Trofense Trofense 0-0 HT 0-0 Anadia Anadia POR3
28.01.2024 Trofense Trofense 1-0 HT 0-0 Anadia Anadia POR3
29.10.2023 Anadia Anadia 3-3 HT 2-0 Trofense Trofense POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Trofense
3-0
AWAY Anadia
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 6
9 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Trofense vs Anadia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Trofense cruised past Anadia 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Trofense as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (57%) landed while under 2.5 goals (57%) missed.

On the day, Trofense had 53% of the ball to Anadia's 47%, shots finished 16-12.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Trofense and 1.60 for Anadia.

What was the final score of Trofense vs Anadia?

Trofense 3-0 Anadia in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 12/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Trofense vs Anadia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Trofense win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Trofense 45%, draw 27%, Anadia 28%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Trofense), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Trofense) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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