Amarante 1-1 Sporting Braga II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 12 Jan 2025

📅12/01/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.05
Draw
26%
3.04
Away
28%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.51
Over 2.5
38%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.13
No
58%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
11%
X/2
11%
X/X
17%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
45%
+1.4pp
26%
Draw
30%
-4.0pp
28%
Away Win
26%
+2.6pp
62%
Under 2.5
62%
-0.7pp
38%
Over 2.5
38%
+0.7pp
42%
BTTS Yes
43%
-1.1pp
58%
BTTS No
57%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Amarante EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Sporting Braga II EU Bookmakers 29%
+37% / +37% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -3%
1.53/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.20
+18% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +7%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
305 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.1 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Amarante
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Sporting Braga II
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 3
29.09.2024 Sporting Braga II Sporting Braga II 0-0 HT 0-0 Amarante Amarante POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Amarante
1-1
AWAY Sporting Braga II
50% Ball Possession 50%
7 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Amarante vs Sporting Braga II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Amarante and Sporting Braga II shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Amarante at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (62%) landed while no to both teams scoring (58%) missed.

On the day, Amarante had 50% of the ball to Sporting Braga II's 50%, shots finished 7-14.

What was the final score of Amarante vs Sporting Braga II?

Amarante 1-1 Sporting Braga II in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 12/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Amarante vs Sporting Braga II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Amarante win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Amarante 46%, draw 26%, Sporting Braga II 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Amarante), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Amarante) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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