Sanjoanense vs Varzim Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Sanjoanense v Varzim — Team-Based Signals
Sanjoanense vs Varzim Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
2-1
HT 1-0
Sanjoanense
POR3
0-1
HT 0-0
Sanjoanense
POR3
0-0
HT 0-0
Varzim
POR3
Sanjoanense 1-2 Varzim — Actual Match Statistics
Varzim squeezed past Sanjoanense 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
As we said in the preview, our model had Varzim as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
On the day, Sanjoanense had 52% of the ball to Varzim's 48%, shots finished 17-16.
For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Varzim led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.40 goals for Sanjoanense and 1.60 for Varzim.
What was the final score of Sanjoanense vs Varzim?
Sanjoanense 1-2 Varzim in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 12/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Sanjoanense vs Varzim?
Before kick-off our model rated an Varzim win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Sanjoanense 31%, draw 26%, Varzim 43%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Varzim) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.