Caldas vs Academica Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Caldas v Academica — Team-Based Signals
Caldas vs Academica Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-0
Caldas
POR3
0-2
HT 0-1
Academica
POR3
2-1
HT 0-1
Caldas
POR3
1-0
HT 1-0
Academica
POR3
Caldas 1-1 Academica — Actual Match Statistics
Caldas and Academica couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.
Our pre-match lean was Academica at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.
On the day, Caldas had 52% of the ball to Academica's 48%, shots finished 18-11.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Caldas and 1.33 for Academica.
What was the final score of Caldas vs Academica?
Caldas 1-1 Academica in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 12/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Caldas vs Academica?
Before kick-off our model rated an Academica win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Caldas 29%, draw 28%, Academica 43%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Academica) went the other way.