Vilaverdense 0-2 Lusitania FC Lourosa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 12 Jan 2025

📅12/01/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
4.65
Draw
22%
3.45
Away
54%
1.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.59
Over 2.5
46%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.19
No
57%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
11%
1/X
4%
X/1
8%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
32%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
19%
+5.6pp
22%
Draw
26%
-4.4pp
54%
Away Win
55%
-1.2pp
54%
Under 2.5
59%
-5.3pp
46%
Over 2.5
41%
+5.3pp
43%
BTTS Yes
42%
+1.9pp
57%
BTTS No
58%
-1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vilaverdense EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Lusitania FC Lourosa EU Bookmakers 59%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
0.70/1.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.59/0.70
-43% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +41%
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
268 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 377 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vilaverdense
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Lusitania FC Lourosa
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 12
1 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 3
28.09.2024 Lusitania FC Lourosa Lusitania FC Lourosa 1-0 HT 0-0 Vilaverdense Vilaverdense POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vilaverdense
0-2
AWAY Lusitania FC Lourosa
32% Ball Possession 68%
5 Total Shots 20
2 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 10
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Vilaverdense vs Lusitania FC Lourosa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lusitania FC Lourosa saw off Vilaverdense 2-0 away from home.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Lusitania FC Lourosa as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Vilaverdense had 32% of the ball to Lusitania FC Lourosa's 68%, shots finished 5-20.

What was the final score of Vilaverdense vs Lusitania FC Lourosa?

Vilaverdense 0-2 Lusitania FC Lourosa in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 12/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vilaverdense vs Lusitania FC Lourosa?

Before kick-off our model rated an Lusitania FC Lourosa win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Vilaverdense 24%, draw 22%, Lusitania FC Lourosa 54%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lusitania FC Lourosa), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Lusitania FC Lourosa) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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