Sao Joao Ver 1-0 Sporting Braga II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 15 Mar 2025

📅15/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.33
Draw
32%
3.04
Away
35%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.6
Over 2.5
39%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.95
No
58%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
10%
X/X
21%
2/1
5%
2/2
20%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
39%
-6.0pp
32%
Draw
29%
+2.8pp
35%
Away Win
32%
+3.2pp
61%
Under 2.5
59%
+2.8pp
39%
Over 2.5
41%
-2.8pp
42%
BTTS Yes
47%
-4.9pp
58%
BTTS No
53%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sao Joao Ver EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Sporting Braga II EU Bookmakers 36%
-25% / -25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +8%
1.11/1.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.24
-12% / -34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / +6%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
294 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sao Joao Ver
0W-1D-3L
AWAY Sporting Braga II
0.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
55% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
10.11.2024 Sao Joao Ver Sao Joao Ver 1-1 HT 0-1 Sporting Braga II Sporting Braga II POR3
10.08.2024 Sporting Braga II Sporting Braga II 2-0 HT 1-0 Sao Joao Ver Sao Joao Ver POR3
12.03.2023 Sporting Braga II Sporting Braga II 1-0 HT 0-0 Sao Joao Ver Sao Joao Ver POR3
03.12.2022 Sao Joao Ver Sao Joao Ver 0-1 HT 0-0 Sporting Braga II Sporting Braga II POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sao Joao Ver
1-0
AWAY Sporting Braga II
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 7
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sao Joao Ver vs Sporting Braga II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sao Joao Ver squeezed past Sporting Braga II 1-0.

Our pre-match split (33% / 32% / 35%) promised a tight game; Sao Joao Ver found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Sao Joao Ver had 49% of the ball to Sporting Braga II's 51%, shots finished 9-11.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Sporting Braga II led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.25 goals for Sao Joao Ver and 1.25 for Sporting Braga II.

What was the final score of Sao Joao Ver vs Sporting Braga II?

Sao Joao Ver 1-0 Sporting Braga II in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 15/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sao Joao Ver vs Sporting Braga II?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sporting Braga II win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Sao Joao Ver 33%, draw 32%, Sporting Braga II 35%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Sporting Braga II) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sporting Braga II) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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