Lusitania vs Sporting Covilha Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Lusitania v Sporting Covilha — Team-Based Signals
Lusitania vs Sporting Covilha Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
Lusitania 2-0 Sporting Covilha — Actual Match Statistics
Lusitania got the better of Sporting Covilha 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.
Our pre-match lean was Sporting Covilha at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%) came in.
On the day, Lusitania had 46% of the ball to Sporting Covilha's 54%, shots finished 12-12.
For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Lusitania had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Lusitania and 0.00 for Sporting Covilha.
What was the final score of Lusitania vs Sporting Covilha?
Lusitania 2-0 Sporting Covilha in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 15/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Lusitania vs Sporting Covilha?
Before kick-off our model rated an Sporting Covilha win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Lusitania 30%, draw 29%, Sporting Covilha 41%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Sporting Covilha) went the other way.