Lusitania FC Lourosa vs Varzim Prediction — Model Probabilities
Lusitania FC Lourosa v Varzim — Team-Based Signals
Lusitania FC Lourosa vs Varzim Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Lusitania FC Lourosa 2-0 Varzim — Actual Match Statistics
Lusitania FC Lourosa took care of Varzim 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.
The way our numbers pointed is the way it went: our model had Lusitania FC Lourosa as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.
No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 47% and both teams to score at 51%, coin-flips both. If anything the market was more convinced: the BTTS-no price stood at 1.80, roughly 56%.
Under the surface, Varzim saw more of the ball, 61% to 39%, shots finished 14-13.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Varzim led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.83 a game for Lusitania FC Lourosa against 1.50 for Varzim.
Lusitania FC Lourosa vs Varzim Result & Final Score
Lusitania FC Lourosa 2 - 0 Varzim in the Portugal - Liga 3 on 15/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Lusitania FC Lourosa vs Varzim Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Lusitania FC Lourosa win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Lusitania FC Lourosa 50%, draw 28%, Varzim 22%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lusitania FC Lourosa), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.