Lusitania FC Lourosa vs Varzim Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Lusitania FC Lourosa v Varzim — Team-Based Signals
Lusitania FC Lourosa vs Varzim Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 1-1
Varzim
POR3
3-0
HT 1-0
Lusitania FC Lourosa
POR3
Lusitania FC Lourosa 2-0 Varzim — Actual Match Statistics
Lusitania FC Lourosa beat Varzim 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Lusitania FC Lourosa as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, Lusitania FC Lourosa had 39% of the ball to Varzim's 61%, shots finished 14-13.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Varzim led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Lusitania FC Lourosa and 1.50 for Varzim.
What was the final score of Lusitania FC Lourosa vs Varzim?
Lusitania FC Lourosa 2-0 Varzim in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 15/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Lusitania FC Lourosa vs Varzim?
Before kick-off our model rated a Lusitania FC Lourosa win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Lusitania FC Lourosa 41%, draw 32%, Varzim 27%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lusitania FC Lourosa) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.