Dezembro 3-1 CF Os Belenenses — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 15 Feb 2025

📅15/02/2025 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.57
Draw
25%
2.94
Away
36%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.54
Over 2.5
39%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.03
No
60%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
19%
X/2
21%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
35%
+4.2pp
25%
Draw
30%
-5.0pp
36%
Away Win
35%
+0.8pp
61%
Under 2.5
61%
+0.2pp
39%
Over 2.5
39%
-0.2pp
40%
BTTS Yes
45%
-5.4pp
60%
BTTS No
55%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dezembro EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY CF Os Belenenses EU Bookmakers 39%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
1.08/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.52/1.66
-18% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / -24%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
250 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dezembro
0W-2D-0L
AWAY CF Os Belenenses
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
60% Ball Possession 40%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 1
09.11.2024 CF Os Belenenses 1-1 HT 1-0 Dezembro Dezembro POR3
10.08.2024 Dezembro Dezembro 0-0 HT 0-0 CF Os Belenenses POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dezembro
3-1
AWAY CF Os Belenenses
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Dezembro vs CF Os Belenenses
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dezembro got the better of CF Os Belenenses 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 25% / 36% — and on the day Dezembro made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Dezembro had 47% of the ball to CF Os Belenenses's 53%, shots finished 9-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Dezembro and 0.50 for CF Os Belenenses.

What was the final score of Dezembro vs CF Os Belenenses?

Dezembro 3-1 CF Os Belenenses in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 15/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dezembro vs CF Os Belenenses?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dezembro win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Dezembro 39%, draw 25%, CF Os Belenenses 36%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dezembro) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Dezembro) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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