Caldas vs Sporting Covilha Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Caldas v Sporting Covilha — Team-Based Signals
Caldas vs Sporting Covilha Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
4-3
HT 0-2
Caldas
POR3
3-0
HT 1-0
Sporting Covilha
POK
1-1
HT 1-0
Sporting Covilha
POK
Caldas 0-1 Sporting Covilha — Actual Match Statistics
Sporting Covilha edged past Caldas 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match split (38% / 31% / 31%) promised a tight game; Sporting Covilha found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Caldas had 58% of the ball to Sporting Covilha's 42%, shots finished 15-6.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sporting Covilha led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Caldas and 1.50 for Sporting Covilha.
What was the final score of Caldas vs Sporting Covilha?
Caldas 0-1 Sporting Covilha in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 15/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Caldas vs Sporting Covilha?
Before kick-off our model rated a Caldas win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Caldas 38%, draw 31%, Sporting Covilha 31%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Caldas) went the other way.