AD Marco 09 1-1 Trofense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 25 Oct 2025

AD Marco 09
1-1 HT 1-1
Trofense
📅25/10/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Portugal - 3rd Division – 2025/2026

AD Marco 09 vs Trofense Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.08
Draw
33%
2.94
Away
35%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.52
Over 2.5
33%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.09
No
55%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
7%
X/2
22%
X/X
22%
2/1
7%
2/2
4%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
29%
+3.2pp
33%
Draw
30%
+2.4pp
35%
Away Win
41%
-5.6pp
67%
Under 2.5
62%
+4.6pp
33%
Over 2.5
38%
-4.6pp
45%
BTTS Yes
44%
+1.6pp
55%
BTTS No
56%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

AD Marco 09 v Trofense — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AD Marco 09 EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Trofense EU Bookmakers 45%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
0.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.46/1.21
-100% / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -1%
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
212 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.9

AD Marco 09 1-1 Trofense — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AD Marco 09
1-1
AWAY Trofense
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH AD Marco 09 vs Trofense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AD Marco 09 and Trofense shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match split (32% / 33% / 35%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (67%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

On the day, AD Marco 09 had 45% of the ball to Trofense's 55%, shots finished 11-12.

What was the final score of AD Marco 09 vs Trofense?

AD Marco 09 1-1 Trofense in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 25/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AD Marco 09 vs Trofense?

Before kick-off our model rated an Trofense win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split AD Marco 09 32%, draw 33%, Trofense 35%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Trofense), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Trofense) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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