Neom SC 1-2 Al Hilal Riyadh — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 18 Jan 2026

📅18/01/2026 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
12%
5.34
Draw
18%
4.34
Away
70%
1.46
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.43
Over 2.5
58%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.68
No
46%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
4.84
2-3 Goals
40%
1.93
4-5 Goals
28%
2.66
6+ Goals
15%
6.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
5%
X/2
22%
X/X
6%
2/1
3%
2/2
39%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
13%
Home Win
16%
-3.2pp
18%
Draw
20%
-2.3pp
70%
Away Win
64%
+5.6pp
42%
Under 2.5
38%
+4.9pp
58%
Over 2.5
62%
-4.9pp
54%
BTTS Yes
56%
-1.9pp
46%
BTTS No
44%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Neom SC EU Bookmakers 19%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Hilal Riyadh EU Bookmakers 69%
-29% / -29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +15%
1.38/1.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.18/0.96
-3% / -36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +8%
39% Ball Possession 61%
10 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
251 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 457 · 85%
26.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 33.3
18.0 Crosses 22.9
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.7
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Neom SC
1-2
AWAY Al Hilal Riyadh
0.97 xG 2.44
41% Ball Possession 59%
12 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 7
232 Passes 366
77% Pass Accuracy 83%
18 Box Touches 36
17 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Neom SC vs Al Hilal Riyadh
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Hilal Riyadh edged past Neom SC 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Al Hilal Riyadh as the likeliest winner at 70%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Neom SC had 41% of the ball to Al Hilal Riyadh's 59%, shots finished 12-16, expected goals 0.97 to 2.44 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Al Hilal Riyadh's control.

What was the final score of Neom SC vs Al Hilal Riyadh?

Neom SC 1-2 Al Hilal Riyadh in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 18/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Neom SC vs Al Hilal Riyadh?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Hilal Riyadh win the most likely single outcome at about 70%, with the full match-result split Neom SC 13%, draw 18%, Al Hilal Riyadh 70%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Hilal Riyadh), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Hilal Riyadh) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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