Al Riyadh 1-3 Al Taawon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 18 Jan 2026

📅18/01/2026 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
3.46
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
56%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.82
Over 2.5
48%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.81
No
53%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.05
2-3 Goals
40%
1.75
4-5 Goals
20%
3.55
6+ Goals
10%
14.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.05 — our 30% vs market 26.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
7%
X/2
20%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
31%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
26%
-5.5pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.1pp
56%
Away Win
49%
+7.6pp
52%
Under 2.5
51%
+0.6pp
48%
Over 2.5
49%
-0.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.0pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Riyadh EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Taawon EU Bookmakers 53%
+5% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +17%
0.97/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.51/0.96
-15% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +64%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
254 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 77%
19.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.9
23.0 Crosses 18.2
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Riyadh
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Al Taawon
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.37 xG 1.53
44% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
305 Passes 405
81% Pass Accuracy 86%
16 Box Touches 18
15 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 2
20.05.2025 Al Taawon Al Taawon 3-2 HT 1-2 Al Riyadh Al Riyadh SUUD
21.01.2025 Al Riyadh Al Riyadh 1-0 HT 0-0 Al Taawon Al Taawon SUUD
09.05.2024 Al Riyadh Al Riyadh 0-0 HT 0-0 Al Taawon Al Taawon SUUD
24.11.2023 Al Taawon Al Taawon 1-2 HT 1-0 Al Riyadh Al Riyadh SUUD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Riyadh
1-3
AWAY Al Taawon
1.56 xG 3.56
60% Ball Possession 40%
20 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 9
8 Corners 2
397 Passes 275
87% Pass Accuracy 80%
29 Box Touches 15
54 Crosses 5
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Al Riyadh vs Al Taawon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Taawon got the better of Al Riyadh 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As we said in the preview, our model had Al Taawon as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Al Riyadh had 60% of the ball to Al Taawon's 40%, shots finished 20-12, expected goals 1.56 to 3.56.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Al Riyadh had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Al Riyadh and 1.00 for Al Taawon.

What was the final score of Al Riyadh vs Al Taawon?

Al Riyadh 1-3 Al Taawon in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 18/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Riyadh vs Al Taawon?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Taawon win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Al Riyadh 20%, draw 24%, Al Taawon 56%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Taawon) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Taawon) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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