Al Riyadh 1-0 Al Taawon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 21 Jan 2025

📅21/01/2025 · 🕒18:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.27
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
38%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.62
Over 2.5
37%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.9
No
59%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
38%
2.46
2-3 Goals
38%
1.71
4-5 Goals
18%
4.29
6+ Goals
6%
22.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.46 — our 38% vs market 32.7%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
17%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
40%
-7.0pp
29%
Draw
29%
-0.3pp
38%
Away Win
30%
+7.3pp
63%
Under 2.5
58%
+5.3pp
37%
Over 2.5
42%
-5.3pp
41%
BTTS Yes
49%
-7.7pp
59%
BTTS No
51%
+7.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Riyadh EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Taawon EU Bookmakers 34%
-22% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +28%
0.62/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.48/1.24
-32% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / +40%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
328 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 75%
16.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.7
21.5 Crosses 18.8
0.6 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Riyadh
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Al Taawon
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
0.99 xG 1.30
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
289 Passes 382
78% Pass Accuracy 84%
14 Box Touches 20
16 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 0
09.05.2024 Al Riyadh Al Riyadh 0-0 HT 0-0 Al Taawon Al Taawon SUUD
24.11.2023 Al Taawon Al Taawon 1-2 HT 1-0 Al Riyadh Al Riyadh SUUD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Riyadh
1-0
AWAY Al Taawon
1.71 xG 0.15
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 2
3 Shots on Target 0
3 Corners 0
339 Passes 406
83% Pass Accuracy 83%
19 Box Touches 6
19 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Al Riyadh vs Al Taawon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Riyadh squeezed past Al Taawon 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 29% / 38% — and on the day Al Riyadh made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.

On the day, Al Riyadh had 46% of the ball to Al Taawon's 54%, shots finished 13-2, expected goals 1.71 to 0.15 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Al Riyadh's control.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Al Riyadh had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Al Riyadh and 0.50 for Al Taawon.

What was the final score of Al Riyadh vs Al Taawon?

Al Riyadh 1-0 Al Taawon in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 21/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Riyadh vs Al Taawon?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Taawon win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Al Riyadh 33%, draw 29%, Al Taawon 38%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Al Taawon) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Taawon) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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