Al Khaleej 1-3 Al Nassr — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 21 Jan 2025

📅21/01/2025 · 🕒17:50 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
5.91
Draw
21%
4.49
Away
58%
1.42
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.33
Over 2.5
55%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.76
No
50%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.51
2-3 Goals
39%
1.87
4-5 Goals
26%
2.69
6+ Goals
12%
7.16
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
10%
1/X
7%
X/1
5%
X/2
20%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
29%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
14%
+6.9pp
21%
Draw
19%
+1.1pp
58%
Away Win
66%
-8.0pp
45%
Under 2.5
39%
+6.5pp
55%
Over 2.5
61%
-6.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.9pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Khaleej EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Nassr EU Bookmakers 70%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +15%
0.66/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.22/1.04
-41% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +33% / -7%
38% Ball Possession 62%
11 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
208 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 430 · 84%
15.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.9
17.1 Crosses 21.1
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Khaleej
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Al Nassr
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.95 xG 1.76
36% Ball Possession 64%
9 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
249 Passes 535
76% Pass Accuracy 88%
16 Box Touches 28
14 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
01.05.2024 Al Nassr Al Nassr 3-1 HT 2-0 Al Khaleej Al Khaleej SAKK
27.04.2024 Al Khaleej Al Khaleej 0-1 HT 0-0 Al Nassr Al Nassr SUUD
04.11.2023 Al Nassr Al Nassr 2-0 HT 1-0 Al Khaleej Al Khaleej SUUD
08.05.2023 Al Nassr Al Nassr 1-1 HT 1-1 Al Khaleej Al Khaleej SUUD
31.12.2022 Al Khaleej Al Khaleej 0-1 HT 0-1 Al Nassr Al Nassr SUUD
04.02.2017 Al Khaleej Al Khaleej 0-3 HT 0-2 Al Nassr Al Nassr SUUD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Khaleej
1-3
AWAY Al Nassr
1.49 xG 1.84
30% Ball Possession 70%
6 Total Shots 20
2 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 9
194 Passes 526
75% Pass Accuracy 89%
8 Box Touches 47
7 Crosses 28
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Al Khaleej vs Al Nassr
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Nassr beat Al Khaleej 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Al Nassr as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Al Khaleej had 30% of the ball to Al Nassr's 70%, shots finished 6-20, expected goals 1.49 to 1.84.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Nassr led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Al Khaleej and 1.83 for Al Nassr.

What was the final score of Al Khaleej vs Al Nassr?

Al Khaleej 1-3 Al Nassr in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 21/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Khaleej vs Al Nassr?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Nassr win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Al Khaleej 21%, draw 21%, Al Nassr 58%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Nassr), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Nassr) ✓ Over 2.5
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