Al Hilal Riyadh 4-1 Al Wehda — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 21 Jan 2025

📅21/01/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
69%
1.16
Draw
20%
7.78
Away
11%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
31%
Over 2.5
69%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
No
47%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
14%
11.3
2-3 Goals
34%
2.72
4-5 Goals
35%
2.21
6+ Goals
17%
2.78
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
24%
X/2
4%
X/X
8%
2/1
14%
2/2
4%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
69%
Home Win
82%
-13.9pp
20%
Draw
10%
+9.3pp
12%
Away Win
7%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Hilal Riyadh EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Wehda EU Bookmakers 9%
-1% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +1%
2.68/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/2.24
+13% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -39% / -13%
61% Ball Possession 39%
18 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
476 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 78%
40.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.7
26.1 Crosses 11.2
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Hilal Riyadh
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Al Wehda
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
2.51 xG 1.09
67% Ball Possession 33%
18 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 3
536 Passes 227
89% Pass Accuracy 77%
38 Box Touches 16
29 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 2
27.05.2024 Al Wehda Al Wehda 1-2 HT 0-1 Al Hilal Riyadh Al Hilal Riyadh SUUD
15.12.2023 Al Hilal Riyadh Al Hilal Riyadh 2-0 HT 1-0 Al Wehda Al Wehda SUUD
12.05.2023 Al Hilal Riyadh Al Hilal Riyadh 1-1 HT 0-1 Al Wehda Al Wehda SAKK
02.03.2023 Al Wehda Al Wehda 3-3 HT 1-1 Al Hilal Riyadh Al Hilal Riyadh SUUD
16.09.2022 Al Hilal Riyadh Al Hilal Riyadh 3-0 HT 0-0 Al Wehda Al Wehda SUUD
11.03.2021 Al Wehda Al Wehda 2-4 HT 2-2 Al Hilal Riyadh Al Hilal Riyadh SUUD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Hilal Riyadh
4-1
AWAY Al Wehda
1.97 xG 0.51
63% Ball Possession 37%
13 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 1
562 Passes 297
88% Pass Accuracy 81%
37 Box Touches 9
11 Crosses 7
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Al Hilal Riyadh vs Al Wehda
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Hilal Riyadh ran out comfortable winners over Al Wehda 4-1. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Al Hilal Riyadh as the likeliest winner at 69%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (69%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Al Hilal Riyadh had 63% of the ball to Al Wehda's 37%, shots finished 13-5, expected goals 1.97 to 0.51.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Hilal Riyadh had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Al Hilal Riyadh and 1.17 for Al Wehda.

What was the final score of Al Hilal Riyadh vs Al Wehda?

Al Hilal Riyadh 4-1 Al Wehda in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 21/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Hilal Riyadh vs Al Wehda?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Hilal Riyadh win the most likely single outcome at about 69%, with the full match-result split Al Hilal Riyadh 69%, draw 20%, Al Wehda 12%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Hilal Riyadh), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Hilal Riyadh) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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