Al Wehda 1-2 Al Hilal Riyadh — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 27 May 2024

📅27/05/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
5.91
Draw
20%
4.95
Away
57%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.98
Over 2.5
62%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.56
No
47%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
6%
X/2
16%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
32%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
13%
+9.7pp
20%
Draw
17%
+3.5pp
57%
Away Win
70%
-13.1pp
38%
Under 2.5
30%
+8.1pp
62%
Over 2.5
70%
-8.1pp
53%
BTTS Yes
60%
-6.8pp
47%
BTTS No
40%
+6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Wehda EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Hilal Riyadh EU Bookmakers 75%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / +3%
0.91/2.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.48/0.83
+17% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +25%
38% Ball Possession 62%
9 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
241 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 475 · 85%
14.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 36.7
13.3 Crosses 24.0
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Wehda
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Al Hilal Riyadh
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.22 xG 2.47
31% Ball Possession 69%
11 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 8
216 Passes 553
75% Pass Accuracy 88%
16 Box Touches 39
12 Crosses 30
2 Yellow Cards 1
15.12.2023 Al Hilal Riyadh Al Hilal Riyadh 2-0 HT 1-0 Al Wehda Al Wehda SUUD
12.05.2023 Al Hilal Riyadh Al Hilal Riyadh 1-1 HT 0-1 Al Wehda Al Wehda SAKK
02.03.2023 Al Wehda Al Wehda 3-3 HT 1-1 Al Hilal Riyadh Al Hilal Riyadh SUUD
16.09.2022 Al Hilal Riyadh Al Hilal Riyadh 3-0 HT 0-0 Al Wehda Al Wehda SUUD
11.03.2021 Al Wehda Al Wehda 2-4 HT 2-2 Al Hilal Riyadh Al Hilal Riyadh SUUD
13.12.2020 Al Hilal Riyadh Al Hilal Riyadh 1-2 HT 0-1 Al Wehda Al Wehda SUUD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Wehda
1-2
AWAY Al Hilal Riyadh
0.63 xG 2.13
34% Ball Possession 66%
5 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 8
219 Passes 486
79% Pass Accuracy 91%
8 Box Touches 23
11 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Al Wehda vs Al Hilal Riyadh
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Hilal Riyadh squeezed past Al Wehda 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Al Hilal Riyadh as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (62%) came in.

On the day, Al Wehda had 34% of the ball to Al Hilal Riyadh's 66%, shots finished 5-16, expected goals 0.63 to 2.13 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Al Hilal Riyadh's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Hilal Riyadh led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Al Wehda and 2.33 for Al Hilal Riyadh.

What was the final score of Al Wehda vs Al Hilal Riyadh?

Al Wehda 1-2 Al Hilal Riyadh in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 27/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Wehda vs Al Hilal Riyadh?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Hilal Riyadh win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Al Wehda 23%, draw 20%, Al Hilal Riyadh 57%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Hilal Riyadh), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Hilal Riyadh) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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