Al Taawon 3-2 Al Riyadh — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 20 May 2025

📅20/05/2025 · 🕒19:20 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.96
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
30%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.0
Over 2.5
55%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.63
No
47%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
21%
X/2
14%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
47%
-0.1pp
23%
Draw
25%
-2.4pp
30%
Away Win
28%
+2.5pp
45%
Under 2.5
46%
-1.3pp
55%
Over 2.5
54%
+1.3pp
53%
BTTS Yes
57%
-4.4pp
47%
BTTS No
43%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Taawon EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Riyadh EU Bookmakers 32%
+13% / +29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +23% / +23%
1.59/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.24
+44% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +39% / -13%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
378 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 78%
23.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.0
17.2 Crosses 20.1
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Taawon
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Al Riyadh
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.92 xG 1.23
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 5
390 Passes 306
84% Pass Accuracy 80%
15 Box Touches 16
18 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 1
21.01.2025 Al Riyadh Al Riyadh 1-0 HT 0-0 Al Taawon Al Taawon SUUD
09.05.2024 Al Riyadh Al Riyadh 0-0 HT 0-0 Al Taawon Al Taawon SUUD
24.11.2023 Al Taawon Al Taawon 1-2 HT 1-0 Al Riyadh Al Riyadh SUUD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Taawon
3-2
AWAY Al Riyadh
3.38 xG 1.77
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 2
452 Passes 304
90% Pass Accuracy 84%
29 Box Touches 14
21 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Al Taawon vs Al Riyadh
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Taawon nicked a narrow win over Al Riyadh 3-2. It was 1-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Al Taawon as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Al Taawon had 58% of the ball to Al Riyadh's 42%, shots finished 14-10, expected goals 3.38 to 1.77 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Al Taawon's control.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Al Riyadh led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Al Taawon and 1.00 for Al Riyadh.

What was the final score of Al Taawon vs Al Riyadh?

Al Taawon 3-2 Al Riyadh in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 20/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Taawon vs Al Riyadh?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Taawon win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Al Taawon 47%, draw 23%, Al Riyadh 30%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Taawon), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Taawon) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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